Wall Street is still focused on the drama surrounding the debt ceiling, Fed language, retail earnings, as well as bank stress. This week is packed with economic data. Of particular interest are the Empire Manufacturing survey, the retail sales report, which should indicate a rise in consumer spending, the weekly jobless claim, and existing home sales.
The debt ceiling talks have been delayed, and will resume this week. The risk of default is increasing, and this would be disastrous for the economy.
The Fed may be more inclined to hold rates for a longer period of time than expected, given the disinflationary trends and the emerging weakness in the labor markets. The Fed will be making nine appearances this week. Highlights include Bostic’s Monday and Goolsbee’s Tuesday. Fed Chair Powell also participates in a panel discussion with former Fed chair Bernanke.
There are a lot of economic releases over the next week but I’m not sure any really fall into the tier one category, despite having some potential to do so. HICP releases are huge, but the revisions tend to be marginal. It’s unlikely to be a game changer but never say never. Flash GDP will also be…